{"id":54113,"date":"2026-07-08T14:45:13","date_gmt":"2026-07-08T14:45:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/uomosul.edu.iq\/en\/administrationeconomic\/?p=54113"},"modified":"2026-07-08T14:51:45","modified_gmt":"2026-07-08T14:51:45","slug":"department-of-economics-at-the-college-of-administration-and-economics-university-of-mosul-discusses-a-doctoral-dissertation-on-utilizing-artificial-intelligence-to-determine-the-factors-influencing","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/uomosul.edu.iq\/en\/administrationeconomic\/2026\/07\/08\/department-of-economics-at-the-college-of-administration-and-economics-university-of-mosul-discusses-a-doctoral-dissertation-on-utilizing-artificial-intelligence-to-determine-the-factors-influencing\/","title":{"rendered":"The Department of Economics at the College of Administration and Economics, University of Mosul, Discusses a Doctoral Dissertation on Utilizing Artificial Intelligence to Determine the Factors Influencing Inflation and Forecasting It ."},"content":{"rendered":"<p dir=\"ltr\">The Department of Economics at the College of Administration and Economics, University of Mosul, witnessed on Tuesday, July 7, 2026 the discussion of the Doctoral dissertation entitled: <b>&#8220;<\/b>The Potential of Utilizing Artificial Intelligence Techniques to Determine the Factors Influencing Inflation and Forecasting It in Iraq,&#8221; submitted by the student Alaa Talib Al-Sayyid Wahb, in Discussion Hall No. (2).<\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\">\u200bThe study aimed to identify the economic, financial, monetary, and structural factors influencing inflation rates in Iraq by analyzing key variables, including: the exchange rate, money supply, public budget deficit or surplus, public debt, output gap, and trade openness. Additionally, it aimed to build a hybrid analytical and predictive framework that utilizes artificial intelligence techniques through Multilayer Perceptron Artificial Neural Networks (MLP-ANN), alongside the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model, with the goal of enhancing the ability to interpret price dynamics and forecast their future paths with high accuracy.<\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\">\u200bThe study reached a number of important conclusions, most notable of which was that the public budget deficit and public debt represent the two most influential factors on inflation rates in Iraq, which confirms the fiscal nature of inflation in the Iraqi economy and its linkage to the oil-dependent rentier structure. Furthermore, the results proved the superiority of the Artificial Neural Network model over traditional econometric models in detecting non-linear inflationary spikes and providing early forecasts, thereby reinforcing the efficiency of integrating econometric methods with artificial intelligence techniques in analyzing and forecasting inflation.<\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\">\u200bThe discussion committee consisted of: Professor Dr. Bashar Ahmed Abdul-Razzaq \u2013 College of Administration and Economics \/ University of Mosul as a\u00a0 Chairman,\u00a0 \u200bProfessor Dr. Khalil Ismail Aziz \u2013 College of Administration and Economics \/ University of Tikrit as a\u00a0 Member, Assistant Professor Dr. Iman Mustafa Rashad \u2013 College of Administration and Economics \/ University of Mosul as a Member,\u00a0 Assistant Professor Dr. Mohammed Jajan Younis \u2013 College of Computer Science and Mathematics \/ University of Mosul as a Member, \u200bAssistant Professor Dr. Omar Hisham Sabah \u2013 College of Administration and Economics \/ University of Mosul as a\u00a0 Member, Assistant Professor Dr. Aws Fakhruddin Ayoub \u2013 College of Administration and Economics \/ University of Mosul as a Member and Supervisor and Assistant Professor Dr. Ramadan Mahmoud Rammo \u2013 College of Administration and Economics \/ University of Mosul as a Member and Supervisor.<\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"lazyload alignnone size-medium wp-image-54114\" src=\"https:\/\/uomosul.edu.iq\/en\/administrationeconomic\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/13\/2026\/07\/IMG-20260707-WA0027-300x200.jpg\" data-orig-src=\"https:\/\/uomosul.edu.iq\/en\/administrationeconomic\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/13\/2026\/07\/IMG-20260707-WA0027-300x200.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"300\" height=\"200\" 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https:\/\/uomosul.edu.iq\/en\/administrationeconomic\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/13\/2026\/07\/IMG-20260707-WA0027-800x533.jpg 800w, https:\/\/uomosul.edu.iq\/en\/administrationeconomic\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/13\/2026\/07\/IMG-20260707-WA0027-1024x682.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/uomosul.edu.iq\/en\/administrationeconomic\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/13\/2026\/07\/IMG-20260707-WA0027-1200x800.jpg 1200w, https:\/\/uomosul.edu.iq\/en\/administrationeconomic\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/13\/2026\/07\/IMG-20260707-WA0027.jpg 1280w\" data-sizes=\"auto\" data-orig-sizes=\"(max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/> <img decoding=\"async\" class=\"lazyload alignnone size-medium wp-image-54115\" src=\"https:\/\/uomosul.edu.iq\/en\/administrationeconomic\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/13\/2026\/07\/IMG-20260707-WA0028-300x200.jpg\" data-orig-src=\"https:\/\/uomosul.edu.iq\/en\/administrationeconomic\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/13\/2026\/07\/IMG-20260707-WA0028-300x200.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"300\" height=\"200\" srcset=\"data:image\/svg+xml,%3Csvg%20xmlns%3D%27http%3A%2F%2Fwww.w3.org%2F2000%2Fsvg%27%20width%3D%27300%27%20height%3D%27200%27%20viewBox%3D%270%200%20300%20200%27%3E%3Crect%20width%3D%27300%27%20height%3D%27200%27%20fill-opacity%3D%220%22%2F%3E%3C%2Fsvg%3E\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/uomosul.edu.iq\/en\/administrationeconomic\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/13\/2026\/07\/IMG-20260707-WA0028-200x133.jpg 200w, https:\/\/uomosul.edu.iq\/en\/administrationeconomic\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/13\/2026\/07\/IMG-20260707-WA0028-300x200.jpg 300w, https:\/\/uomosul.edu.iq\/en\/administrationeconomic\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/13\/2026\/07\/IMG-20260707-WA0028-400x267.jpg 400w, https:\/\/uomosul.edu.iq\/en\/administrationeconomic\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/13\/2026\/07\/IMG-20260707-WA0028-600x400.jpg 600w, https:\/\/uomosul.edu.iq\/en\/administrationeconomic\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/13\/2026\/07\/IMG-20260707-WA0028-768x512.jpg 768w, https:\/\/uomosul.edu.iq\/en\/administrationeconomic\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/13\/2026\/07\/IMG-20260707-WA0028-800x533.jpg 800w, https:\/\/uomosul.edu.iq\/en\/administrationeconomic\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/13\/2026\/07\/IMG-20260707-WA0028-1024x682.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/uomosul.edu.iq\/en\/administrationeconomic\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/13\/2026\/07\/IMG-20260707-WA0028-1200x800.jpg 1200w, https:\/\/uomosul.edu.iq\/en\/administrationeconomic\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/13\/2026\/07\/IMG-20260707-WA0028.jpg 1280w\" data-sizes=\"auto\" data-orig-sizes=\"(max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/> <img decoding=\"async\" class=\"lazyload alignnone size-medium wp-image-54116\" src=\"https:\/\/uomosul.edu.iq\/en\/administrationeconomic\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/13\/2026\/07\/IMG-20260707-WA0030-300x200.jpg\" data-orig-src=\"https:\/\/uomosul.edu.iq\/en\/administrationeconomic\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/13\/2026\/07\/IMG-20260707-WA0030-300x200.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"300\" height=\"200\" srcset=\"data:image\/svg+xml,%3Csvg%20xmlns%3D%27http%3A%2F%2Fwww.w3.org%2F2000%2Fsvg%27%20width%3D%27300%27%20height%3D%27200%27%20viewBox%3D%270%200%20300%20200%27%3E%3Crect%20width%3D%27300%27%20height%3D%27200%27%20fill-opacity%3D%220%22%2F%3E%3C%2Fsvg%3E\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/uomosul.edu.iq\/en\/administrationeconomic\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/13\/2026\/07\/IMG-20260707-WA0030-200x133.jpg 200w, https:\/\/uomosul.edu.iq\/en\/administrationeconomic\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/13\/2026\/07\/IMG-20260707-WA0030-300x200.jpg 300w, https:\/\/uomosul.edu.iq\/en\/administrationeconomic\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/13\/2026\/07\/IMG-20260707-WA0030-400x267.jpg 400w, https:\/\/uomosul.edu.iq\/en\/administrationeconomic\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/13\/2026\/07\/IMG-20260707-WA0030-600x400.jpg 600w, https:\/\/uomosul.edu.iq\/en\/administrationeconomic\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/13\/2026\/07\/IMG-20260707-WA0030-768x512.jpg 768w, https:\/\/uomosul.edu.iq\/en\/administrationeconomic\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/13\/2026\/07\/IMG-20260707-WA0030-800x533.jpg 800w, https:\/\/uomosul.edu.iq\/en\/administrationeconomic\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/13\/2026\/07\/IMG-20260707-WA0030-1024x682.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/uomosul.edu.iq\/en\/administrationeconomic\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/13\/2026\/07\/IMG-20260707-WA0030-1200x800.jpg 1200w, https:\/\/uomosul.edu.iq\/en\/administrationeconomic\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/13\/2026\/07\/IMG-20260707-WA0030.jpg 1280w\" data-sizes=\"auto\" data-orig-sizes=\"(max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/> <img decoding=\"async\" class=\"lazyload alignnone size-medium wp-image-54117\" src=\"https:\/\/uomosul.edu.iq\/en\/administrationeconomic\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/13\/2026\/07\/IMG-20260707-WA0029-300x200.jpg\" data-orig-src=\"https:\/\/uomosul.edu.iq\/en\/administrationeconomic\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/13\/2026\/07\/IMG-20260707-WA0029-300x200.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"300\" height=\"200\" srcset=\"data:image\/svg+xml,%3Csvg%20xmlns%3D%27http%3A%2F%2Fwww.w3.org%2F2000%2Fsvg%27%20width%3D%27300%27%20height%3D%27200%27%20viewBox%3D%270%200%20300%20200%27%3E%3Crect%20width%3D%27300%27%20height%3D%27200%27%20fill-opacity%3D%220%22%2F%3E%3C%2Fsvg%3E\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/uomosul.edu.iq\/en\/administrationeconomic\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/13\/2026\/07\/IMG-20260707-WA0029-200x133.jpg 200w, https:\/\/uomosul.edu.iq\/en\/administrationeconomic\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/13\/2026\/07\/IMG-20260707-WA0029-300x200.jpg 300w, https:\/\/uomosul.edu.iq\/en\/administrationeconomic\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/13\/2026\/07\/IMG-20260707-WA0029-400x267.jpg 400w, https:\/\/uomosul.edu.iq\/en\/administrationeconomic\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/13\/2026\/07\/IMG-20260707-WA0029-600x400.jpg 600w, https:\/\/uomosul.edu.iq\/en\/administrationeconomic\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/13\/2026\/07\/IMG-20260707-WA0029-768x512.jpg 768w, https:\/\/uomosul.edu.iq\/en\/administrationeconomic\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/13\/2026\/07\/IMG-20260707-WA0029-800x533.jpg 800w, https:\/\/uomosul.edu.iq\/en\/administrationeconomic\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/13\/2026\/07\/IMG-20260707-WA0029-1024x682.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/uomosul.edu.iq\/en\/administrationeconomic\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/13\/2026\/07\/IMG-20260707-WA0029-1200x800.jpg 1200w, https:\/\/uomosul.edu.iq\/en\/administrationeconomic\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/13\/2026\/07\/IMG-20260707-WA0029.jpg 1280w\" data-sizes=\"auto\" data-orig-sizes=\"(max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Department of Economics at the College of Administration and Economics, University of Mosul, witnessed on Tuesday, July 7, 2026 the discussion of the Doctoral dissertation entitled: &#8220;The Potential of Utilizing Artificial Intelligence Techniques to Determine the Factors Influencing Inflation and Forecasting It in Iraq,&#8221; submitted by the student Alaa Talib Al-Sayyid Wahb, in Discussion Hall No. (2). \u200bThe study aimed to identify the economic, financial, monetary, and structural factors influencing inflation rates in Iraq by analyzing key variables, including: the exchange rate, money supply, public budget deficit or surplus, public debt, output gap, and trade openness. Additionally, it aimed to <a href=\"https:\/\/uomosul.edu.iq\/en\/administrationeconomic\/2026\/07\/08\/department-of-economics-at-the-college-of-administration-and-economics-university-of-mosul-discusses-a-doctoral-dissertation-on-utilizing-artificial-intelligence-to-determine-the-factors-influencing\/\"> [Read More]<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":17,"featured_media":54118,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-54113","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-discussions"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/uomosul.edu.iq\/en\/administrationeconomic\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/54113","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/uomosul.edu.iq\/en\/administrationeconomic\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/uomosul.edu.iq\/en\/administrationeconomic\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/uomosul.edu.iq\/en\/administrationeconomic\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/17"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/uomosul.edu.iq\/en\/administrationeconomic\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=54113"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"https:\/\/uomosul.edu.iq\/en\/administrationeconomic\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/54113\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":54127,"href":"https:\/\/uomosul.edu.iq\/en\/administrationeconomic\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/54113\/revisions\/54127"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/uomosul.edu.iq\/en\/administrationeconomic\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/54118"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/uomosul.edu.iq\/en\/administrationeconomic\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=54113"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/uomosul.edu.iq\/en\/administrationeconomic\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=54113"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/uomosul.edu.iq\/en\/administrationeconomic\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=54113"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}